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Evidence standard

A profitable backtest is not enough.

Development / In-Sample

The period available during strategy creation is explicitly identified. Development performance is useful, but it is not independent evidence.

Untouched Out-of-Sample

OOS data is deliberately excluded from development. Exact start and end dates are disclosed, and OOS statistics are reported separately.

Frozen Forward Simulation

After the validated parameter set is frozen, the strategy is observed chronologically in simulation. This is not presented as live trading.

Live Evidence

When live evidence exists, it is shown separately. If it does not exist, the website will say so rather than imply otherwise.

Costs and execution

Commission, slippage and execution assumptions are disclosed where relevant to the validation record.

Core principle

Evidence of survival.

A commercial release must demonstrate more than historical fit. It must survive independent evidence and continue to be monitored after release.